Don`t be dismayed by the poor performance
of your prized rookie - that is if you are in a perpetual AL Scoresheet League and you own Mark Teixeira or Jeremy Bonderman.
Teixeira owners don`t have to look far to see why. Fellow Texas Ranger and thirdbaseman Hank Blalock was expected to be the
Rookie of the Year last year and completely flopped. So far this year, he had been gunning for MVP! It would not be a surprise
to see the same thing happen to Teixeira next year. Meanwhile, last year`s Rookie of the Year - another thirdbaseman by the
name of Eric Hinske - has been less than stellar so far this year.
Let`s go back a few years and compare
the players who were expected to be American League Rookie of the Year Candidates in 2000 with the players who actually were
the top Rookie of the Year candidates in that League, and those from that class who are probably the best right now:
Top
Expected
2000 RotY |
Top
Actual
2000 RotY |
Top 2000
Rookies
in 2003 |
R. Mateo |
K. Sasaki |
V. Wells |
Mike Lamb |
A. Kennedy |
K. Wells |
D. Jimenez |
Mark Quinn |
M. Buehrle |
N. Johnson |
Steve Cox |
K. Sasaki |
Ed Yarnell |
K. Wunsch |
F. Cordero |
Ramon Ortiz |
Lou Pote |
A. Huff |
Matt Riley |
B. Molina |
N. Johnson |
R. Anderson |
C. Richard |
B. Molina |
K. Wells |
Ramon Ortiz |
Tomo Ohka |
F. Cordero |
Hector Ortiz |
Ramon Ortiz |
V. Wells |
Josh Paul |
D. Jimenez |
Dee Brown |
Adam Piatt |
A. Kennedy |
Steve Cox |
Mike Lamb |
Robert Fick |
A. Huff |
A. Huff |
Lou Pote |
Robert Fick |
J. Canizaro |
K. Wunsch |
A. Kennedy |
L. Barcello |
D. Davis |
It looks to me that the list of
Year 2000 rookies who doing the best now resembles the list of prospects who were expected to do best in 2000 about as closely
as the list of rookies who actually did do the best that year. Sasaki and Kennedy are still outstanding in this class. However,
D`Angelo Jimenez, Kip Wells, Nick Johnson, Francisco Cordero, and Vern Wells all faltered in 2000, but are now playing about
as well as was expected of them. Most of the surprises in 2000 following Sasaki and Kennedy have fallen off: Quinn, Richard,
Hector Ortiz, Josh Paul, Canizaro, and Barcello.